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6 days agoPractically 0. I don’t think Iran is ever going to risk taking such action because they’re trying to avoid any possible situation that paints them as acting illegally or aggressively. Striking a US vessel directly is pretty much guaranteeing a NATO invasion of their country.
Even then I don’t think they’d do it. At most they’ll do retaliatory strikes on that one airbase in Qatar, and on some military infrastructure in Israel at most. They have always opted for this option because it’s less escalatory then directly attacking the US.