Razia (She/Her)

I’m genuinely impressed by the way they’re playing their cards.

The inherent disadvantage of ballistic missiles is that the cost of delivering a particular explosive payload to a given location is quite high. The advantage, is being able to strike at great range at short notice and being able to hit the enemy without them being able to easily defend the entire threatened area and without exposing your forces to easy counterattack.

So the IRGC is playing a careful game of demonstration and pressure. They demonstrate they can hit their targets, show that defensive systems are ineffective, deplete their magazines and remove their early detection capabilities. Now the US-Israel complex can’t predict when and where they will be hit, and recognize that anything can be destroyed at any time. Suddenly, by applying 20-30 missiles and a relative handful of drones per day, striking randomly without giving respite, announcing target lists (as above), picking and choosing the most vulnerable, cost-effective targets, Iran is able to completely paralyze the economies and normal life of essentially all of their enemies across West Asia while also degrading their military capabilities.

I’m convinced that we’re witnessing a major evolution in the future of warfare centered on drones and ballistic missiles across Ukraine and the Iran war and the IRGC is currently defining military history in a way that will be studied for a long time to come.

It’s very impressive, and it’s so satisfying to see the imperialists cowering for once!

Thank you for introducing me to this site, great analysis from Indi and so well written!

I’m pretty sure that this one is from the 12 day war, I remember seeing it last year. https://www.douyin.com/video/7613044092256075369

Great compilation though, I’ve got my eyes on Rednote for videos dodging Israeli and US censorship.

The fact that the actual community has no real recourse on who gets to moderate it is a major and deliberate problem in the platform because it allows the head mods to effectively silence things on the platform they don’t like, mainly stuff that goes against US imperial interests.

This is so incredibly disappointing, but not surprising, it was one of the few real socialist subs and it was posting information about likely hits in Israel and on US facilities and Reddit is desperately trying to silence that.

It’s an interesting thing to think about - I would argue that you have a point, but unlike economics, which is by definition social because humans are fundamental to the economy - statistics can be focused on non-human subjects across the natural sciences. But, when statistics is applied to humans and societies e.g. through sample surveys, I would argue that in those situations it is operating as a social science.

I’ve not delved deeply into the definitions around this, my work is usually in programme evaluation in the development sector, but I’d be interested to look up academic writing around this question.

I’m unfortunately one of those crazy people who is genuinely enthusiastic about the philosophy of science and abstract definitions.