I’m wondering if the 2027 French presidential election might turn out like the 2024 US presidential election did.
What I mean is: what if left-wing voters refuse to back the moderate (Edouard Philippe in France, Kamala Harris in the US), which just helps the far-right candidate to win (Le Pen in France, Trump in the US)?
Melenchon is liked by the left in France, but the polls show he fares much worse against Le Pen than Philippe does. If the second round is Melenchon vs Le Pen, then Le Pen’s victory becomes more likely.
Maybe actually I’m making a mistake by comparing the French election with the 2024 US election because of the different voting systems.
I suppose leftist voters in France might think “if we can get Melenchon into the second round then moderates will have to vote for him to keep out Le Pen”. So then the second round polling between Melenchon and Le Pen might change when the reality sets in that Melenchon and Le Pen are the only two options. Which is different to the single-round US presidential election, where the only two realistic candidates to win were Trump and Harris. In that US election, every anti-Trump non-voter just helped Trump.
As for Melenchon being anti-Ukraine, I don’t know his stance in detail, but like you, I’m not in favour of anti-Ukraine stances.
JML is not “anti-Ukraine” but is clearly not fond of the status quo. Don’t forget to check the instance of the people commenting, it usually says a lot about their own biases