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Cake day: June 4th, 2025

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  • The rate of autism diagnosis is a product of the actual rate of occurrence of autism times the probability of diagnosis if someone has it. The probability of diagnosis (whether correct, false positive or false negative) depends on professionals’ and clients’ awareness of the condition. That has changed significantly over those 70 years, and because of that, it’s very hard to assess whether the prevalence of the underlying condition has changed or not. It’s also devilishly hard to determine whether ASD is being over-diagnosed now, or was massively under-diagnosed before.

    And sugar doesn’t really act like alcohol (for example, all the systemic damage caused by acetaldehyde when alcohol is metabolized doesn’t happen with sugar), and fetal alcohol syndrome presents very differently than ASD.