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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: October 6th, 2023

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  • There’s absolutely no doubt that AI democratizes many capabilities that people otherwise would not possess,

    There is so much wrong with that.

    For starters, you don’t possess it. You still can’t do it because you haven’t learned.

    Second, it’s not something you have inherent access too. LLMs are completely unaffordable to anyone using them, which is why the companies are running insane losses. Your use of LLMs depends entirely and fully on the availability of venture capital to burn.

    Third, it was always within your ability to learn. The information to acquire the skills has been available for free.

    Fourth, thanks to LLMs (and enshittification) it is becoming more and more difficult to find and access that free information.


  • People aren’t talking about alphafold when they’re talking about “AI” in 2026. They’re talking about chatgpt, claude and copilot.

    “Could you have done it without AI?” is the wrong test. The test is whether the extra cost of doing it the old way is worth paying every time. Sometimes it is. Often it is not

    I would hard disagree. It absolutely applies for super narrow applications like alphafold, but in general, LLMs aren’t remotely close to being worth it. You don’t need to look beyond how hugely unprofitable AI companies are. The only companies who aren’t completely shoveling money into the furnace are the ones selling hardware to the companies that do.

    We also see that the consequences of AI use are pretty harsh. Students who use a lot of AI are a full year behind their counterparts that don’t, according the the latest PISA data.

    So what we have is something that is unaffordably expensive, with dubious benefit and immense second order effects.








  • So the other 99% of the energy that doesn’t push push against the craft body just goes away?

    You’re missing the insane energy density of a nuclear reaction. The first nuke used in war weighed 4700kg and produced about 88 terajoules of energy. That’s about 19 giga joule per kilo

    1 kg of rocketfuel + oxidizer produces 13 megajoule.

    So even at 1% energy conversion for a nuke and 100% conversion for rocketfuel, the nuke is still 15 times more energydense.

    And if you don’t use nukes from the 40s, a modern thermonuclear bomb packs 2000TJ into 200 kilos, for a convenient 10TJ per kilo, or 7700 times more power per kilo than liquid rocket fuel.